AbsoFarm

Farming trends

Eleven trends already changing fields and greenhouses, and two that didn’t live up to expectations. Every number has a source and a date.

Ag drones have gone mainstream

In use

In five years the drone has gone from a curiosity to a working tool: spraying, fertilizing, seeding and imaging. Especially where fields are small, wet or on slopes.

  • More than 600,000 DJI ag drones in 100+ countries (company data, end of 2025).
  • China: more than 300,000 drones and ≈30.7 million ha treated a year (2025).
  • Russia: ≈600,000 ha treated in 2025; the target is ≈2 million ha a year by 2028.
  • Vietnam: about 7,000 ag drones (census of 01.07.2025).

What it means for you: On smaller areas it’s cheaper to hire a service: your own drone pays off from ≈400 ha treated a year.

Sources (5)

Greenhouses get more from every square meter

In use

A climate computer, supplemental lighting, substrate and beneficial insects: a greenhouse grows many times more than open ground and uses less water per kilogram.

  • The Netherlands: ≈48 kg of tomatoes per m² a year (2024), a yield 13 times the world average.
  • Almeria: 31,600 ha of low-cost plastic-film greenhouses and €4.1 billion in exports a season.
  • Vietnam: 112,300 ha of greenhouses and net houses, 27 times more than in 2016.
  • Russia: 3,460 ha of winter greenhouses and 1.66 million t of vegetables (2025).

What it means for you: For Southern Russia and the tropics, the Almeria model — a low-cost greenhouse and good management — is a closer fit than Dutch glass.

Sources (6)

Water by the drop and by the meter

In use

Droughts and salt make water a farm’s most important resource. Drip, sensors and recycled water are becoming the norm.

  • Drip irrigation gets ≈90% of the water to the roots; furrow irrigation, ≈60% (FAO).
  • Israel sends ≈90% of its treated wastewater to agriculture.
  • Mekong Delta, the 2019–2020 drought: 41,900 ha of rice hit by salt, 96,000 families without water.

What it means for you: Put in a meter: water saved on one field often goes to new fields, and the region as a whole saves nothing.

Sources (5)

Satellites, data and AI

In use

Free imagery, sensors and apps turn a field into a map: where it’s sick, where it’s short of nitrogen, where there’s too much water.

  • Sentinel-2: an image every 5 days, down to 10 m per pixel — free.
  • 49% of farmers use at least one agtech tool (a survey of 5,500 farmers in 10 countries, 2026).
  • 17% of the farmers surveyed use generative AI.
  • Bayer FieldView: more than 100 million ha of fields in 23 countries (11.2024).

What it means for you: Start with free maps; test variable application rates on strips first — results vary widely across studies.

Sources (4)

Biology in place of some chemistry

In use

Biostimulants, biocontrol and beneficial insects are no longer exotic: nearly one farmer in two uses them.

  • The biostimulant market: $4.47 billion (2025), growing ≈10% a year.
  • The biocontrol market: $9.8 billion, ≈$15 billion by 2032.
  • 48% of the farmers surveyed use biostimulants, 41% use biocontrol (2026).
  • Almeria: beneficial insects protect 28,600 ha of greenhouses.

What it means for you: Leave an untreated check strip: that’s how you see whether a product works on your field.

Sources (4)

Autosteer comes before robots

In use

Full autonomy is still ahead, but satellite-guided steering already pays off: less overlap, less fuel, less fatigue.

  • USA: autosteer covers 58% of corn acreage and 55% of soybean acreage, but only 10% of the smallest farms use it.
  • Russia: Cognitive Pilot sold 312 kits in 2023 and 405 in the first quarter of 2024.
  • Deere promises fully autonomous corn and soybean production by 2030.
  • Monarch Tractor shut down in 2025; Caterpillar bought its assets.

What it means for you: Start with a kit for your own tractor; buy a robot tractor only with local service.

Sources (4)

Living soil

In use

With no plowing, cover crops and crop rotation, soil builds up organic matter and water, and machinery makes fewer passes.

  • Conservation agriculture: 205 million ha, 14.7% of the world’s cropland (2018/19).
  • Russia and Ukraine: 6.9 million ha, up from 0.1 million ha ten years earlier.
  • Cover crops in the USA: ≈7.3 million ha (2022), 17% more than in 2017.

What it means for you: Switch over part of a field at a time and compare with a control: the soil needs several seasons.

Sources (2)

Robots: already on the farm, on their way to the field

Pilots

Milking robots are routine, laser weeders pay off in vegetables, and harvesting robots are still in pilots.

  • Lely: 50,000 Astronaut robots, ≈3 million cows in 50 countries (2024).
  • A laser weeder costs from ≈€1 million and saves up to ≈€800 per hectare a year compared with hand weeding.
  • AgXeed: about a hundred robot tractors at work (2025).
  • Strawberry pickers are still scaling up: Dogtooth raised more than £14 million (2026).

What it means for you: Buy mature robots with service nearby; pilot-stage ones only as an experiment.

Sources (4)

New varieties: genome editing

Pilots

Precise gene edits without foreign DNA speed up breeding. One country after another is separating such varieties from GMOs.

  • Japan: a high-GABA tomato on sale since 2021.
  • England: precision plant breeding rules in force since 13.11.2025.
  • EU: the new regulation entered into force on 16.07.2026 and applies from 17.07.2028.
  • Russia: 67.6% of seeds are domestically bred; the target is 75% by 2030.

What it means for you: A variety suited to your climate is the cheapest yield technology there is; check each country’s rules for new varieties.

Sources (4)

The farm’s own energy

In use

Solar panels over the beds and biogas from manure turn a farm from an energy consumer into an energy producer.

  • Agrivoltaics: more than 14 GW worldwide (2021), up from 2.9 GW in 2018.
  • Europe: ≈21,000 biogas plants and ≈22 billion m³ of biogas and biomethane (2024).

What it means for you: Start with what runs in the daytime: pumps, cooling, ventilation. Diesel is the backup.

Sources (2)

Carbon becomes income

Pilots

Less fertilizer, less water, fewer emissions — and payment for verified reductions. Vietnam’s rice is the first to try this at scale.

  • Vietnam: the “1 million ha” program of low-emission rice by 2030.
  • By March 2026: 354,800 ha, 197% of the first-phase plan.
  • The World Bank approved $33.3 million (up to $40 million) in carbon payments to rice farmers.
  • According to participants’ reports: yields +12%, spending on fertilizer and crop protection −40%.

What it means for you: Carbon income takes field records and protocols: no data, no payment.

Sources (3)

What didn’t take off

Big promises, billions in investment — and an honest bottom line.

Vertical farms: high-profile bankruptcies

Didn’t take off

Skyscraper farms under LEDs raised billions of dollars, and many have closed: light and climate cost more than the business plans promised.

  • Plenty: bankruptcy in 2025 after ≈$1 billion in investment.
  • Bowery: shut down in 2024 after more than $700 million in investment.
  • AeroFarms: bankruptcy in 2023; Infarm pulled out of Europe.
  • Japan’s Spread works: 30,000 heads of lettuce a day on an automated farm.

What it means for you: Only microgreens, salad greens and herbs — and only with a sales contract.

Sources (5)

Insect protein: still expensive

Didn’t take off

Insect farms promised to replace fishmeal and soy in animal feed, but insect feed still costs several times more.

  • Ÿnsect raised ≈€600 million and was liquidated in 2025.
  • Insect feed costs 2–10 times more than fishmeal and soybean meal.
  • Canada’s Aspire cut about two-thirds of its staff.

What it means for you: On your own farm, larvae raised on waste are feed for your own hens; as a standalone business, it’s too early.

Sources (2)

Numbers come from open sources as of 30.10.2026. Company figures are marked: they are the manufacturers’ estimates, not independent statistics.